Is there any way of measuring the impact of stimulus package on the US economy?

It’s again a random thought. The kind of thing that pops out when doing random things, like driving, doing dishes, chores, or taking shower etc. i seem to do more intensive thinking when doing dishes or grocery etc. Again, while i was driving, it occurred to me that maybe there may be a possibility of measuring the impact of the economic stimulus package on the US economy. It’s because, although the stimulus package has done something good in terms of creating jobs, improving the US economy, it still gets criticized, attacked by ignorant people. And the only defense of the package has been “It Could have Been Worse” without it. 

“Computable general equilibrium (CGE) model”

i don’t know this model in detail. i hadn’t used it.  if i had stayed in academia i would have taken the training program for using this model. i just read the rough description of this model. it just occur to me that there may be a way of measuring the effect of stimulus package on the US economy by using this CGE model. As wickipedia shows, “CGE models are a class of economic models that use actual economic data to estimate how an economy might react to changes in policy, technology or other external factors. CGE models are also referred to as AGE (applied general equilibrium) models.

The outcome of this model may vary, depending on how the model settings are conditioned by the analysts, which economists do the analysis with what intention, etc. But if properly, fairly done, this model could be a way of answering, closing this arguments of recovery package and finding the justification of having another one??? Probably right economists should have some answer to this.

President Obama’s State of Union Speech: “It’s as good as it gets.”

This morning, while i was driving my girl to her school, i heard radio news comment about “President’s State of Union Speech, saying that “it’s as good as it gets.” I believe so, too. Frankly speaking, i was a bit tired and felt like getting cold last night. So while listening to it, i fell in sleep. This morning, i heard bits of the speech from here and there. So, i post the you tube site of that speech here, frankly speaking, as for my later reference to go back.

Before the speech, there was a comment that the State of Union Speech usually doesn’t affect the outcome of incumbent president’s re-election prospect so much. But, after the speech, i hear that the Speech may pave the road for President’s re-election.

“President Obama’s “Gizillian-Dollar-War-Chest””

(although i have no sense of how much gizillian dollar would be.) I believe President’s State of Union Speech was an elaborately well woven tapestry of well developed, deepened political strategies, policies, giving us the clues of the well seasoned leader’s elaborate political skills and depth, along with unyielding passion, even after three years of steering the tough salty stormy political water. The texture of his speech gives the taste of the difference of his experience before and after he entered the Presidency, but the same person with same or greater vigor, passion, and more seasoned strategic thinking that don’t disappoint us but reassure us “Who He Is.” His emphasis on “Economic Equality” and “Tax” issues are right on target while the gradual recovery of US economy and the tough battle of GOP primary make his sailing to re-election smoother. It appears that President is approaching his second-term with another storm, but with different kind of waves than his first ones. Some say that his speech (i heard that the major part of the speech is Mr. Obama’s own writing) was too long, should have been shorter, more efficient; but i like it better in that way, because it shows the amount, strength of his enthusiasm on it, that made him forget about efficiency, a minor point compared to the importance of contents and specifics. i hear praises about how specific his policy suggestions, unlike his predecessors’. Some say that he should have bragged more about his achievements. One of good parts of the speech, i think, was “We Cannot Go Back to Where We Were.” (am i saying correctly?) After the late night speech (i’d say, because i fell in sleep), he is out on campaign trail to Arizona, Iowa, Michigan…..right next this morning. whhhhhhmmmmmm.

And he shows his respect to other cultures.

i respect people who sincerely fulfill their callings.

“As Gingrich’s fate rises, so does Obama’s” (Yahoo News)

“The evangelical dilemma in South Carolina: adulterer or Mormon?”

The above catch phrase almost seems to foreshadow, bear symbolic meaning on the current, future trend of GOP presidential candidates’ campaign for the 2012 election. The continuous, unpredictable twists of the candidates’ fates don’t fail to blow our minds off. The newest twist of campaign trend is well summarized in the below graph from Yahoo News. The battle between two major GOP contenders appears to have increasingly reduced their chances of winning the White House while strengthening President’s chance of re-reigning for the second term. It’s a relief, as it seems that what GOP candidates are talking sound like they may reverse any recovery or progress made for the last a few years back to the previous condition or worse while President’s policy agendas are getting healthier, more focused, more improved.

“the Gingrich-Romney battle determines about 87.5 percent of the variability in Obama’s likelihood of reelection. To wit, for every 10 percent more likely Gingrich is to win the nomination, Obama is 0.75 percent more likely to win reelection. For every 10 percent less likely Romney is to win the election if he wins the nomination, Obama is 2.75 percent more likely to win reelection.”

Source: http://news.yahoo.com/blogs/signal/gingrich-fate-rises-does-obama-133152405.html

Sunday Jan 22 2012: Psalm 8, Exodus 17:8-16, Romans 16:1-2, Proverbs 16: 31-32, Isaiah 2:2-4

Psalm 8: O LORD, our Lord, how majestic is your name in all the earth! You have set your glory above the heavens. From the lips of children and infants you have ordained praise because of your enemies, to silence the foe and the avenger. When I consider your heavens, the work of your fingers, the moon and the stars, which you have set in place, what is man that you are mindful of him, the son of man that you care for him? You made him a little lower than the heavenly beings and crowned him with glory and honor. You made him ruler over the works of your hands; you put everything under his feet: all flocks and herds, and the beasts of the field, the birds of the air, and the fish of the sea, all that swim the paths of the seas. O LORD, our Lord, how majestic is your name in all the earth!

Exodus 17:8-16: The Amalekites came and attacked the Israelites at Rephidim. Moses said to Joshua, “Choose some of our men and go out to fight the Amalekites. Tomorrow I will stand on top of the hill with the staff of God in my hands.” So Joshua fought the Amalekites as Moses had ordered, and Moses, Aaron and hur went to the top of the hill. As long as Moses held up his hands, the israelites were winning, but whenever he lowered his hands, the Amalekites were winning. When Moses’s hands grew tired, they took a ston and put it under him and he sat on it. Aaron and Hur held his hands up-one on one side, on on the other-so that his hands remained steady till sunset. So joshua overcame the Amalekite army with the sword. Then the Lord said to Moses, “Write this on a scroll as something to be remembered and make sure that Joshua hears it, because I will completely blot out the memory of Amalek from under heaven.” Moses built an alter and called it THE LORD is my Banner. He said,

“For hands were lifted up to the throne of the LORD. The LORD will be at war against the Amalekites from generation to generation.”

Romans 16:1-2: I commend to you our sister Phoebe, a servant of the church in Cenchrea. I ask you to receive her in the Lord in a way worthy of the saints and to give her any help she may need from you, for she has been a great help to many people, including me.

Proverbs 16: 31-32: Gray hair is a crown of splendor; it is attained by a righteous life. Better a patient man than a warrior, a man who controls his temper than one who takes a city. The lot is cast into the lap, but its every decision is from the LORD.

Psalm 96:6: Honor and majesty are before him: strength and beauty are in his santuary.

Isaiah 2:2-4: In the last days the mountain of the LORD’s temple will be established as the highest of the mountains; it will be exalted above the hills, and all nations will stream to it. Many peoples will come and say, “Come, let us go up to the mountain of the LORD, to the temple of the GOD of Jacob. He will teach us his ways, so that we may walk in his paths.” The law will go out from Zion, the word of the LORD from Jerusalem. He will judge between the nations and will settle disputes from many peoples. They will beat their swords into plowshares and their spears into pruning hooks. Nation will not take up sword against nation, nor will they train for war anymore.

i  blink. i’m not sure what is what. what is real, what is nor real?  just a few days ago, i bowed my head to my feet in respect for G-, but with anger, humiliation. Then He scared me, with greenish….light coming from ……now, i don’t have any opinion or judgement. ‘m blank. i would do whatever whenever G-, i believe, says, without thinking. Scripture says i should not get out of His Palm.    

Obama Addresses Job Creation For Election Year (Video) and GOP ect..

Obama Addresses Job Creation For Election Year

“President Barack Obama’s “billion-dollar war chest”"

 

We are proud of it.

Still things seem to be going all right, toward reasonable directions. And there is an “INTRIGUING,“ “HILLARIOUS“  title of  Yahoo news.:

 

“The evangelical dilemma in South Carolina: adulterer or Mormon?” 

 

“For South Carolina conservatives, especially evangelical Christians, the 2012 campaign season is the year of magical rethinking. Look at the frontrunners:

If you want a president with a legacy of marital fidelity, you’re going to have to work around Newt Gingrich’s adultery.

If you believe that Mormons don’t really qualify as Christian, you may find yourself struggling with Mitt Romney.“

 

“almost-dead.bz.cm” you are none of my concern. you are too stupid, trivial, meaningless, filthy, same with your Russian whore and her stupid husband. YOU THINK I”M ALMOST DEAD?; your life has been useless, full of dirts with your dirty heart/eyes, even messing up churches with your filthy, dirty eyes. The LORD will deal with you, what you have done. not me. Despite all cruel/brutal things you’ve done to make me disappear, why do you think i’m still here?

“In your righteousness, bring me out of trouble. In your unfailing love, silence my enemies; destroy all my foes, for I am your servant.” “The LORD has rewarded me according to my righteousness, according to the cleanness of my hands in his sight. To the faithful you show yourself faithful, to the blameless you show yourself blameless, to the pure you show yourself pure, but to the crooked you show yourself shred. You saved the humble but bring low those whose eyes are haughty. You, O LORD, keep my lamp burning; my God turns my darkness into light…..You broaden the path beneath me, so that my ankles do not turn. I pursued my enemies and overtook them; I did not turn back till they were destroyed. I crushed them so that they could not rise; they fell beneath my feet. You armed me with strength for battle; you made my adversaries bow at my feet. You made my enemies turn their backs in flight, and I destroyed my foes. They cried for help, but there was no one to save them – to the LORD, but he did not answer. I beat them as fine as dust borne on the wind…“ “Forgetting what is behind and straining toward what is ahead, I press on toward the goal to win the prize for which God has called me heavenward in Christ Jesus.”;  Psalms 18″ Thank G-.

A Little Tomato Story

While eating vegetable during mealtime, my little one reminded me of our old cherished story that we love to laugh at. It happened years ago, when we lived in other state. My older daughter was 1st grader and younger one three  years old. After school, I and kids went to a grocery store. We were picking vegetables in vegi section, which reminded my older daughter of what happened at her school. On that day, her elementary school had an event of students bringing their younger siblings to school classrooms. So, the seven year old brought her three year old sister to her classroom. In the middle of class, the three year old shouted,

“Tomato is coming!,” “Tomato is coming!”

The older one looked outside the classroom window and saw a tornado coming from a distance toward the school building.

I think I never saw any tornado in real life. But my kids did, at least once. Once I met my girl’s friend who was visiting this town for ten months. She was nine year old. She said that she experienced tornado twice in her life. Both time, those tornados ripped off her houses. One reason of her visit to this town at that time was also because her house was being repaired for several months after it was torn off by tornado and her entire family was traveling with her father and his business schedule. She seemed to have lived a lot.

“discuss the december standoff over the…. ” don’t get it. mean really literally discuss?

Sunday Jan 16 2012: Psalm 4, Isaiah 43:2-3, 2:2-4

Psalm 4: Answer me when I call to you, O my righteous God. Give me relief from my distress; be merciful to me and hear my prayer. How Long, O men, will you turn my glory into shame? How long will you love delusions and seek false gods? Know that the LORD has set apart the godly for himself; the LORD will hear when I call to him. In your anger do not sin;; when you are on your beds, search your hearts and be silent. Offer right sacrifices and trust in the LORD. Many are asking, “Who can show us any good?” Let the light of your face shine upon us, O LORD. You have filled my heart with greater joy than when their grain and new wine abound. I will lie down and sleep in peace, for you alone, O LORD, make me dwell in safety.

Isaiah 43:2-3: When thou passest through the waters, I will be with thee; and through the rivers, they shall not overflow thee…for I am the Lord thy God.

Luke 8:12: Those along the path are the ones who hear, and then the devil comes and takes away the word from their hearts, so that they may not believe and be saved.

Corinthians 11:2-4: I am jealous for you with a godly jealousy. I promised you to one husband, to Christ, so that I might present you as a pure virgin to him. But I am afraid that just as Eve was deceived by the serpent’s cunning, your minds may somehow be led astray from your sincere and pure devotion to Christ. For if someone comes to you and preaches a Jesus other than the Jesus we preaches, or if you receive a different spirit from the one you received, or a different gospel from the one you accepted, you put up with it easily enough. But I do not think I am in the least inferior to those “superapostles.” I may not be a trained speaker, but I do have knowledge. We have made this perfectly clear to you in every way.

Isaiah 2:2-4: In the last days the mountain of the LORD’s temple will be established as the highest of the mountains; it will be exalted above the hills, and all nations will stream to it. Many peoples will come and say, “Come, let us go up to the mountain of the LORD, to the temple of the GOD of Jacob. He will teach us his ways, so that we may walk in his paths.” The law will go out from Zion, the word of the LORD from Jerusalem. He will judge between the nations and will settle disputes from many peoples. They will beat their swords into plowshares and their spears into pruning hooks. Nation will not take up sword against nation, nor will they train for war anymore.

when are you going to save me?; ” “almost-dead.bz” “, somebody doesn’t seem to like me, or it’s the person who actually almost killed me.; let’s talk about y self. doing what all the time with w.., bitter hone…?  who’s not complying? who’s lieing in selfishness. and what? at least can not talk about night statue that much because its devoted to other business? and wish for respect?

The re-election prospect is going pretty well

The prospect of re-election seems to be pretty good, according to the Gallup polling. These flat lines kind of make us think that there haven’t been ups and downs of the past pollings.

dropping out? worrysom. they not going toget..? ; Sir.; “changing conditions of the amazon rainforest” meaning?; “which place is this”? what is “which place”?; “lord hear….” the lord looked different lately…..; “rise and fall…” read them…? honor if. then, will i live? confusing b. real, non-real. 

this morning’s news

This morning’s radio news was powerful. President is moving so fast, fully energetic. He is merging commerce and trade, his fund-raising going great, Mr. Romney’s Bain Capital being closely scrutanized by own party’s fierce challengers, and great fanfare music at the end of that news hour. It made listeners feel the energy from the great motions.

“the government we have is not the government we need” and that it’s still organized for the 20th Century, President Obama is asking Congress to give him the power to do some streamlining and merging of agencies that overlap.I’m calling on Congress to reinstate the authority that past presidents have had” to reorganize the government, the president just said at the White House. He pledged to only use the authority to make the government more efficient and leaner. As we reported earlier, his first proposal is to merge agencies that deal with international trade, including some in the Commerce Department and the White House’s Office of the Trade Representative.”

http://www.npr.org/blogs/thetwo-way/2012/01/13/145157412/reports-obama-to-seek-power-to-merge-agencies-streamline-government

The changes Pres. is doing or have to do in future is all about saving pure economics, economic power of this country from the rotten, corrupted conditions. Saving the country from the rotten, corrupted track toward further failure, destruction. He is, should be the forebearer of doing this work for future generations to be able to embark on more serious issues like global warming etc. if he fails his role of solidifying this country’s fate in a stable, sustainable ground, it will make future generations to solve more complicate issues harder, tougher. He is the Forebearer of all the righteous leaders to come, no matter what background.; secret circ…? is this tv witch series something (according to wikipedia) ? child’s playing or serious? Everybody just do what scripture say.

after these news, there were some strange news in a row. some KS eagles were shot to death, followed by news that a mother brought her son to a tree to put a gun on his head, because he’s a gay. since then he tried his best to hide his identity. and then followed by NASA news that scientists expect to find thousands of possibly habitable planets. it’s like a….mummmmm……  

does the below site really exist? it referred to mine. there maybe some  possibility. if saving force doesn’t come in time. because busy for something else.

almost-dead.bz.cm

Did somebody say that “Pres. Obama Won the 2012 Election?”

“Trouble of Few Substances in GOP Debate?”

“The reason President Barack Obama won is that most of the commentators who were featured during the debate affirmed that the clear winner was Mitt Romney…..Because nobody took him down….the other candidates basically left Romney alone. Romney will most likely continue to be the front-runner for the GOP nomination despite his obvious evasion of questions for which he substituted long-winded patriotic rhetoric. After Jon Huntsman spoke articulately about his tax plan which was endorsed by the Wall Street Journal, Romney was asked to comment on it. He blatantly refused to answer the question and instead began a long idealistic ramble designed to make us feel patriotic and hopeful but didn’t actually say anything. I was amazed at how much Romney got to talk. He talked a lot and said very little that had any substance. If he’s the winner, President Obama is in good shape. Not only did Romney win because nobody took him down, he won because the other candidates made a lot of mistakes.”

Source: “Obama Won the GOP Debate in New Hampshire,” http://news.yahoo.com/obama-won-gop-debate-hampshire-173700365.html;_ylt=AkMtbvGwjHt.WCmu0iwAWlG1qHQA;_ylu=X3oDMTRvOGo0djNvBGNjb2RlA2dtcHRvcDEwMDBwb29sd2lraXVwcmVzdARtaXQDTmV3cyBmb3IgeW91BHBrZwM1MDUyNmE1NS0wNjZmLTNjZDAtYjNkMy1lODQ1ODA4MGQ2YjAEcG9zAzEEc2VjA25ld3NfZm9yX3lvdQR2ZXIDOGFiMjY1ZDAtM2ExZi0xMWUxLWEzNmYtNTU5OGJlYjM5OTcx;_ylg=X3oDMTJwaG0xam05BGludGwDdXMEbGFuZwNlbi11cwRwc3RhaWQDMDhiY2EwMWItYzQ1Zi0zY2I5LTk5MGMtM2I0NzNkYzBhYTdiBHBzdGNhdAMEcHQDc3RvcnlwYWdlBHRlc3QD;_ylv=3